Sweet Hazely
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |