Ike's Gamble
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-06-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2024-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 07/02/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 06/03/2024 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 04/04/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 19/05/2024 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 16/08/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 15/09/2024 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 13/10/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |