Love Me Not
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |