Santinni
3yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |