Gianluca Be Lucky
4yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |