Guys Trip
5yo Horse · 8-13 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |