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2

Pride's Prince

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 101

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 6f110y 118 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 87 par24/10C8OR 87C8 @ Oaklawn Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 85 · 6f 119 · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 81 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 81 par14/02C8OR 81C8 @ Oaklawn Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 6f Slo 125 · beat its mark08/03/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 84 par10/04C5OR 84C6 @ Oaklawn Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 90 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 88 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 88 par11/06C5OR 88C6 @ Delaware Park 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Delaware Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 6f Slo 125 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 92 par22/07C7OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-07-08Delaware Park?1st0th+1
2026-06-11Delaware Park?1st-1th+2
2026-05-02Oaklawn Park?10th9th+1
2026-04-10Oaklawn Park?3rd1st+2
2026-03-08Oaklawn Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/108/0311/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20254th11/271%40%-0.31
21/12/20259th9/276%0%-0.76
14/02/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
08/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
10/04/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
02/05/202610th7/163%18%-0.45
11/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
08/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
22/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05