6

La Perico

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 51

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 1198/08C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 par21/08C6OR 84C7 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 43 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 43 par6/09C7OR 43projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?3rd4th1
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0821/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20268th33/10%0%0.00
21/08/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
06/09/20263rd25/10%80%+0.80