12
Princess Eliana
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 56
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +16.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |