2
Lookin At Roses
10yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |