6
Skimble Shanks
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |