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7

Muthabir

4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Delaware Park 28/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark28/06/2025 · OR 73 par28/06C8OR 73C7 @ Delaware Park 15/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 79 · 7f110y 117 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 79 parC7 @ Delaware Park 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m 116 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 80 par30/08C7OR 80C7 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 118 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 82 parC7 @ Laurel Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 78 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 78 par31/10C7OR 78C7 @ Delaware Park 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f 123 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Delaware Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 70 par22/08C7OR 70C7 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m70y Sft 122 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Delaware Park 09/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 80 par9/09C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Delaware Park?8th9th−1
2026-08-28Delaware Park?5th6th−1
2026-08-22Delaware Park?3rd4th−1
2026-08-06Delaware Park?4th5th−1
2025-10-31Laurel Park?5th6th−1
2025-09-25Delaware Park?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0625/0922/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
15/08/20254th16/116%25%+0.09
30/08/20253rd25/10%60%+0.60
25/09/20254th33/10%25%+0.25
31/10/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
06/08/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
22/08/20263rd2/189%71%-0.18
28/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
09/09/20268th10/147%30%-0.17