2
Rickie's Kin
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |