5
Scrambler
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |