Little Boss Man

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 65

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Colonial Downs	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-16	Colonial Downs	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-02	Colonial Downs	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-07-11	Colonial Downs	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▼

Strength34%

Delivery trend -11.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/07/2026	4th	16/1	16%	57%	+0.41
02/08/2026	9th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
16/08/2026	6th	13/2	66%	55%	-0.11
30/08/2026	4th	15/2	61%	63%	+0.02