8

A M C Roy's Star

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 26

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seventh of 8 in maiden at this course (7f, AW, 100/1) 41 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 13226/04C8C8 @ Greyville 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12714/08C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Greyville?7th7th0
2026-04-26Scottsville?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0414/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20269th20/10%0%0.00
14/08/20267th50/10%14%+0.14