6

Future Prospect

5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 51

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 11 Flat runs. Second of 9 in maiden (5/1) at Greyville (9.9f, soft) 27 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 21/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 13321/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y GS 132C8 @ Greyville 23/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13223/02C8C8 @ Greyville 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128C8 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Std 1273/04C8C8 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 132C8 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 1258/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m154y GS 131C8 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Hvy 12528/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Greyville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-02Scottsville?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Scottsville?3rd3rd0
2026-04-24Greyville?4th4th0
2026-04-03Greyville?4th4th0
2026-03-08Greyville?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/058/038/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20259th20/10%33%+0.33
11/01/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
23/02/20264th9/488%63%-0.26
08/03/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
03/04/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
24/04/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
08/07/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06
02/08/20262nd4/596%86%-0.10
28/08/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11