11

Greenside Girl

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 19

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 11 Flat runs. 33/1, last of 9 in maiden at this course (8f, AW) 34 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 05/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1325/02C8C8 @ Vaal 24/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 12531/03C8C8 @ Vaal 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m209y GS 125C8 @ Vaal 04/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 1324/05C8C8 @ Greyville 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C8 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13219/07C8C8 @ Greyville 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126C8 @ Greyville 21/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12221/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Greyville?9th9th0
2026-08-14Greyville?6th6th0
2026-07-19Scottsville?9th9th0
2026-06-22Greyville?9th9th0
2026-05-04Vaal?5th5th0
2026-04-21Vaal?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0221/0419/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend +9.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
24/02/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
31/03/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
21/04/20266th40/10%0%0.00
04/05/20265th6/168%43%-0.26
22/06/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
19/07/20269th80/10%20%+0.20
14/08/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
21/08/20269th40/10%0%0.00