3

Indignation

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 69

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

9/4, fourth of 11 in maiden at Scottsville (7f, good) 67 days ago. Up in trip. Standard bearer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13215/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1325/04C8C8 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13220/05C8C8 @ Greyville 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12310/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12328/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12319/07C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Scottsville?4th4th0
2026-06-28Scottsville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-10Greyville?2nd2nd0
2026-05-20Greyville?5th5th0
2026-04-05Scottsville?11th11th0
2026-03-15Scottsville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/035/0420/0510/0628/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend -16.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20267th40/10%60%+0.60
05/04/202611th20/10%33%+0.33
20/05/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
10/06/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
28/06/20263rd15/890%80%-0.10
19/07/20264th2/189%70%-0.19