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9

Lady Regal

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 65

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

16/1, fifth of 8 in maiden at Greyville (9.9f, good to soft) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1325/04C8C8 @ Greyville 30/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12030/05C8C8 @ Greyville 22/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 11722/06C8C8 @ Greyville 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12315/07C8C8 @ Greyville 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12114/08C8C8 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 1254/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville?5th5th0
2026-08-14Greyville?5th5th0
2026-07-15Greyville?5th5th0
2026-06-22Greyville?8th8th0
2026-05-30Greyville?10th10th0
2026-04-05Scottsville?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0430/0522/0615/0714/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/202614th80/10%13%+0.13
30/05/202610th66/10%18%+0.18
22/06/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
15/07/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
14/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
04/09/20265th11/142%43%+0.01