10

My Queen Amanat

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 33

Greyville · Tote For The Win Maiden Plate (F & M) · 1m 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, first run since leaving S. G. Tarry when last of 8 in maiden at Greyville (9.9f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Makes all weather debut. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 09/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1309/10C8C8 @ Turffontein 26/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y 12826/10C8C8 @ Vaal 27/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 13027/01C8C8 @ Turffontein 07/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 1257/02C8C8 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 1284/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville?8th8th0
2026-02-07Turffontein?7th7th0
2026-01-27Vaal?10th10th0
2025-10-26Turffontein?9th9th0
2025-10-09Vaal?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1026/1027/017/024/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/202511th66/10%29%+0.29
26/10/20259th66/10%11%+0.11
27/01/202610th22/10%18%+0.18
07/02/20267th100/10%0%0.00
04/09/20268th22/10%0%0.00