5
Galaxy Explorer
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 52
Greyville · Celebrating South African Heritage Apprentice D Stakes · 1m 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 05/09/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 08/07/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |