3
Irish Anthem
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 34
Greyville · Celebrating South African Heritage Apprentice D Stakes · 1m 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/07/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |