9
Many Waters
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 38
Greyville · Celebrating South African Heritage Apprentice D Stakes · 1m 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength32%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-12-05 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/12/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.58 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |