6
Blue Poppy
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 60
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |