1

Heavenly Mafia

4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 66

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable third of 10 in handicap at Scottsville (8f, good, 14/1) 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 31/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12831/10C8C8 @ Scottsville 14/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 130C5 @ Greyville 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 11229/03C54 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1254 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1236/0644 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1225 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 13419/0754 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1254 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12030/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Scottsville43rd3rd0
2026-08-09Scottsville44th4th0
2026-07-19Scottsville54th5th1
2026-06-28Scottsville414th14th0
2026-06-06Greyville43rd3rd0
2026-05-17Scottsville45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1017/0519/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20253rd2/189%80%-0.09
14/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
29/03/20268th18/15%0%-0.05
17/05/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
06/06/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
28/06/202614th16/116%7%-0.09
19/07/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
09/08/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
30/08/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41