2

Mrsglittersparkles

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 62

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Last of 7 in handicap (66/1) at Greyville (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 26/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12526/1244 @ Greyville 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1274 @ Greyville 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1286/0244 @ Greyville 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1274 @ Greyville 27/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12727/0344 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1284 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1286/0644 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1294 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1284/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville47th7th0
2026-07-12Greyville46th6th0
2026-06-06Greyville48th8th0
2026-05-09Greyville411th11th0
2026-03-27Greyville49th9th0
2026-02-27Greyville44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1227/026/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20256th6/168%29%-0.40
18/01/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
06/02/20264th11/142%50%+0.08
27/02/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
27/03/20269th7/282%0%-0.82
09/05/202611th28/10%0%0.00
06/06/20268th28/10%0%0.00
12/07/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
04/09/20267th40/10%0%0.00