4
Peace Rose
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-08-20 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-07-23 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |