7

Spirit Of Shimla

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Scottsville in July. 14/1, creditable third of 7 in handicap at Greyville (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Has work to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 18/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13018/01C8C8 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1324 @ Scottsville 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12115/0344 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1284 @ Scottsville 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12729/044C5 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1164 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1276/0644 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1284 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1344/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville43rd3rd0
2026-07-29Scottsville41st1st0
2026-06-06Greyville46th6th0
2026-05-20Greyville?2nd3rd1
2026-04-29Scottsville43rd3rd0
2026-04-03Greyville45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/013/046/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength58%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
15/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
15/03/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
03/04/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
29/04/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
20/05/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
06/06/20266th11/893%29%-0.64
29/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
04/09/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19