5
Treasure Island
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 73
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |