8
Dancing In Demark
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 60
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |