4
Party Girl
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 52
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |