6
Praise De La Rey
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 59
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-02-06 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |