9
Shesha Ntombi
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 49
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 30/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |