3
Special Glamour
5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 52
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 9% | -0.65 |