6
B Fiftytwo
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za C Stakes · 4f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 13th | 15th | −2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 29/05/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |