2

Bison Warrior

3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 47

Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za C Stakes · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Winner here in May. Eighth of 9 in handicap at Greyville (6f, soft, 20/1) 27 days ago. Form choice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13225/01C?C8 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13211/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1325/04C8C8 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13224/04C8C8 @ Greyville 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13227/05C85 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 13328/085projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Greyville58th9th1
2026-05-27Greyville?1st5th4
2026-04-24Greyville?2nd6th4
2026-04-05Scottsville?2nd6th4
2026-03-11Scottsville?6th10th4
2026-01-25Scottsville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0111/035/0424/0427/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
11/03/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
05/04/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
24/04/20262nd9/488%88%-0.01
27/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
28/08/20268th18/15%13%+0.07