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4

Mojo Man

6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 63

Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za C Stakes · 4f 214y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win here in May. Sixth of 7 in minor event (8/1) at Scottsville (5f, good) 25 days ago. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 27/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/0244 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 5f103y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS26/0444 @ Greyville 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS13/0644 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13712/07C5C5 @ Greyville 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Std 119C5 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 11930/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Scottsville?6th6th0
2026-08-14Greyville?10th10th0
2026-07-12Greyville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Scottsville411th10th+1
2026-06-13Greyville43rd2nd+1
2026-05-27Greyville41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0227/0512/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
22/03/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
26/04/202613th25/10%14%+0.14
27/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
13/06/20263rd16/116%82%+0.66
28/06/202611th12/137%33%-0.04
12/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
14/08/202610th11/142%0%-0.42
30/08/20266th15/261%17%-0.44