7
Phutulicious
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za C Stakes · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |