3
Captain Ventura
4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 44
Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength49%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 03/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |