5
Littleblackgem
5yo Mare · 8-6 · OR 46
Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |