8
Mystique Rouge
7yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 51
Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |