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4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 64
Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/04/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |