1
Time In Paris
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 47
Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |