6

Your Ladyship

5yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 69

Greyville · Lucky Fish Monopoly Live Apprentice Class 5 (F & M) · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 12-runner handicap at Scottsville (6f, good, 11/2) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS6/0244 @ Greyville 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Greyville 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 118 · HIGHER CLASS29/0345 @ Scottsville 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1284 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS17/0545 @ Greyville 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1275 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12712/0755 @ Greyville 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1254 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS13/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Scottsville41st0th+1
2026-08-18Greyville52nd2nd0
2026-07-12Greyville55th5th0
2026-06-20Greyville53rd3rd0
2026-05-17Scottsville44th3rd+1
2026-04-29Scottsville53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0229/0412/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
08/03/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
29/03/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
29/04/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
17/05/20264th4/179%75%-0.04
20/06/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
12/07/20265th11/486%64%-0.22
18/08/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
13/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26