2
Izibulo
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 56
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 13% | -0.74 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |