4
Qhawekazi
6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 57
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/12/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |