6
Seven No Trump
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 63
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |