7
Theleia
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 46% | -0.42 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |