8
What A Classic
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 67
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Class 4 (F & M) · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scottsville | ? | 10th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |